Email this article 
Penerapan Decision tree dalam pengambilan keputusan untuk pemain Texas Holdem Poker
Abstract
Abstract
Texas holdem poker is a popular poker game. This game is played by millions of people every day, both to find additional income or just for fun. But in fact not everyone who plays poker with these goals gets according to what they have planned. Some people actually experience losses after playing. They unconsciously develop the logic of gambler's fallacy that causes them to play poker without using strategy. This research made a system that can prove the defect of gambler's fallacy and made a tool for playing poker. The processed dataset is a dataset containing information of cards used in poker and their probability of occurrence. The method used in this research are iterative deepening search tree and decision tree. The main results of this research is a tool that can provide insight as a basis for decision making. However, this tool has not been able to prove its capabilities in helping to increase the winning percentage, so that further study is needed. In addition, this study also shows that playing with gambler's fallacy logic only gives 48.13% wins of 6,000 trials. These results proved that using gambler's fallacy logic in playing poker is a mistake.
Keywords – Tree, Poker, Probability, Gambler’s Fallacy
Abstrak
Texas holdem poker merupakan permainan poker yang populer. Permainan ini dimainkan oleh jutaan orang setiap harinya, baik untuk mencari penghasilan tambahan ataupun hanya untuk bersenang-senang. Namun pada kenyataanya tidak semua orang yang bermain poker dengan tujuan tersebut mendapatkan sesuai dengan apa yang mereka rencanakan. Sebagian orang justru mengalami kerugian pasca bermain. Mereka tanpa sadar mengembangkan logika berpikir gambler’s fallacy yang mengakibatkan bermain tanpa strategi. Makalah ini menyajikan hasil studi penerapan pohon keputusan dan pohon pencarian untuk membuktikan kecacatan gambler’s fallacy dan membantu dalam bermain poker. Dataset yang diolah adalah dataset yang berisi informasi kartu-kartu yang dipakai dalam permainan serta probabilitas kemunculannya. Metode yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah metode pencarian pada struktur tree dan metode pohon keputusan. Hasil utama dari penelitian ini adalah alat bantu yang mampu memberikan insight sebagai dasar pengambilan keputusan. Namun, alat bantu ini belum bisa dibuktikan kapabilitasnya dalam membantu menaikkan persentase kemenangan sehingga diperlukan studi lanjutan. Selain itu, penelitian ini juga menunjukkan bahwa bermain dengan logika gambler’s fallacy hanya memberikan 48.13% kemenangan dari 6000 percobaan. Hasil tersebut membuktikan bahwa menggunakan logika gambler’s fallacy dalam bermain poker merupakan suatu kesalahan.
Kata kunci – Tree, Poker, Probabilitas, Gambler’s Fallacy
Keywords
Full Text:
PDFReferences
G. Meyer, M. von Meduna, T. Brosowski, and T. Hayer, “Is Poker a Game of Skill or Chance? A Quasi-Experimental Study,” J. Gambl. Stud., vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 535–550, 2013.
V. Berthet, “Best Hand Wins: How Poker Is Governed by Chance,” Chance, vol. 23, no. 3, pp. 34–38, 2015.
C. A. Leonard and R. J. Williams, “Characteristics of good poker players,” J. Gambl. Issues, vol. 2015, no. 31, pp. 44–67, 2015.
G. Bouju, M. Grall-Bronnec, V. Quistrebert-Davanne, J. B. Hardouin, and J. L. Vénisse, “Texas hold’em poker: A qualitative analysis of gamblers’ perceptions,” J. Gambl. Issues, no. 28, 2013.
C. Ly, “An Exploratory Investigation of Online Gambling Amongst University Students in Tasmania,” Dhhs.Clients.Squiz.Net, pp. 1–51, 2010.
H. Kesuma, “Jual Beli Chip Poker Secara Online Perspektif Konsep Jual Beli Madzhab Syafi’i,” Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang, 2018.
D. Trijayanto, “Media Baru dan Ekonomi Baru Lahirnya Sistem Ekonomi Baru dalam Game Online Zynga Poker,” PROMEDIA, vol. I, no. 1, pp. 19–42, 2015.
O. N. Talberg, “Can we expect more students dropping out of education to play poker or has online poker become too challenging?,” J. Gambl. Issues, vol. 2017, no. 37, pp. 59–86, 2017.
T. Apriani, “FENOMENA JUDI POKER ONLINE DIKALANGAN MAHASISWA UNIVERSITAS RIAU JURUSAN SOSIOLOGI,” Jom Fisip, vol. 5, p. 3, 2018.
M. Morav et al., “DeepStack : Expert-Level Artificial Intelligence in No-Limit Poker,” Science (80-. )., vol. 513, no. May, pp. 1–32, 2017.
N. Brown and T. Sandholm, “Superhuman AI for heads-up no-limit poker: Libratus beats top professionals,” Science (80-. )., vol. 359, no. 6374, pp. 418–424, 2018.
R. Biolcati, S. Passini, and M. D. Griffiths, “All-in and bad beat: Professional poker players and pathological gambling,” Int. J. Ment. Health Addict., vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 19–32, 2015.
“Poker Rules | Discover the Rules of the Game and Win at PokerStars.” [Online]. Available: https://www.pokerstars.com/poker/games/rules/. [Accessed: 16-Jun-2019].
“How to Play Texas Hold’em | Texas Holdem Rules,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://www.pokerlistings.com/poker-rules-texas-holdem. [Accessed: 16-Jun-2019].
M. G. Carneiro and G. A. De Lisboa, “What’s the Next Move? Learning Player Strategies in Zoom Poker Games,” 2018 IEEE Congr. Evol. Comput. CEC 2018 - Proc., pp. 1–8, 2018.
F. de Mesentier Silva, J. Togelius, F. Lantz, and A. Nealen, “Generating beginner heuristics for simple texas hold’em,” pp. 181–188, 2018.
S. Ganzfried and F. Yusuf, “Computing Human-Understandable Strategies: Deducing Fundamental Rules of Poker Strategy,” Games, vol. 8, no. 4, p. 49, 2017.
C.R.Kothari.”Research Methology Methods and Techniques”. India: New Age International Limited. ISBN (13) : 978-81-224-2488-1. 2004.
Gorunescu, F. ”Data Mining Concept Model and Techniques. Berlin: Springer. ISBN 978-3-642-19720-8. 2011
Andriani Anik. ”Sistem Pendukung Keputusan Berbasis Decision Tree dalam Pemberian Beasiswa Studi Kasus: AMIK ”BSI YOGYAKARTA”. Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi dan Komunikasi., 2013., pp. 163-168.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.22441//fifo.2020.v12i2.006
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Jurnal Ilmiah FIFO
 | Print ISSN: 2085-4315 |
|---|---|
| Online ISSN: 2502-8332 |
Sekretariat
Fakultas Ilmu Komputer
Universitas Mercu Buana
Jl. Raya Meruya Selatan, Kembangan, Jakarta 11650
Tlp./Fax: +62215871335
http://publikasi.mercubuana.ac.id/index.php/fifo
e-mail:[email protected]
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
.png)
